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NavigatorHome > Polish Property and Real Estate Articles > Brief Analysis of Current Situation on Polish Building Materials Market

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Brief Analysis of Current Situation on Polish Building Materials Market

Article added on: 2007-06-01

Today, the slight increases in prices of building materials noted until the last quarter of 2006 are now only a pleasant memory – primarily for investors financing residential and industrial construction projects.


Today, the slight increases in prices of building materials noted until the last quarter of 2006 are now only a pleasant memory – primarily for investors financing residential and industrial construction projects.

In our opinion, the prices of building materials have risen because of the following factors:



  • higher demand for building materials caused by a more newly-issued
    building permits (between January and May 2007 approx. 80% more
    construction permits were issued than in the analogous period of the
    previous year);

  • less ceramic brick producers (more than 70% of small and mid-sized
    brickyards were liquidated by the end of 2006);

  • Poland’s lower CO2 emission limit, downsized by the European Union,
    which necessitates a reduction in the output of building materials,
    especially those whose production is connected with the emission of
    significant amounts of CO2 during combustion; this primarily concerns
    cement – a basic material in residential construction and road works;

  • in the opinion of some market analysts, producers and intermediaries
    took advantage of the shortages evident in some assortments to raise
    prices.


According to GUS data, the climate in the construction industry in May 2007
was better than in April 2007; the industry performed better in both those
months than in the analogous months of the past six years. Between January
and April 2007, construction and assembly output was 50.4% higher than in
the comparable period of 2006.


Construction and assembly companies’ order
portfolios have steadily expanded and their financial
performance has improved. Their moods growing more
jovial each month, mangers of construction firms plan to
take on additional staff in the near future.


Concurrently, based on information from the real
estate market, more dwellings are being put up for sale.
This increase has been primarily driven by international
investment funds which want to realise a profit as well
as private individuals who have invested in real estate
in Poland. Both these groups have determined that
following the recent increases in property prices, now is
a good time to cash in on their investments.


The market will soon also be impacted by the
amendment to the Housing Co-operatives Act, currently
being prepared by the government, as a result of which
lodgings purchased for a fraction of their true value will
appear on the real estate market.


According to market analysts, Poland’s housing deficit
currently amounts to close to 1.6 million housing units.
In the coming future, the deficit will power growth both
of the real estate market and of the building materials
production sector.


In subsequent years, higher demand for housing will
be met by higher supply. This may help to stabilise the
prices of building materials. At present, shortages in
some assortments are off set by imports, and the rapid
jump in prices has been arrested.


Yet, since it is highly unlikely that a balance will be
reached between demand and supply on the housing
market in the next few years, it is also unlikely that the
prices (of both housing and building materials) will
return to the levels of a half a year ago.


Despite the very high housing prices, demand is
unlikely to be reduced owing to increasingly broader
bank offerings of housing loans. The downward bound
unemployment, which affects the society’s investment
moods, has significantly heightened Poles’ propensity to
draw on bank loans to finance residential construction.


In addition, considerable funds being channelled
to Poland from abroad by those who have emigrated
in search of gainful employment are being invested in
residential construction and are making a direct impact
both on the real estate market and on the building
materials market in Poland.


To summarise: the prices of building materials which
have fluctuated considerably in the last few months
should not increase as steeply in the future although
rising demand means that no one should expect the
prices to decrease.

Published courtesy of PMR Publications

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